The CIA Says It Can Predict Social Unrest as Early as 3 to 5 Days Out

Frank Konkel reports for Defense One:

Last year around this timeBolivarian National Police officer try to disperse demonstrators during an opposition protest in Caracas, Venezuela, Friday, Sept. 16, 2016., CIA stood up its first new office since 1963—the Directorate for Digital Innovation—a seismic shift for the agency that legitimized the importance of technology, including big data and analytics.

According to Deputy Director for Digital Innovation Andrew Hallman, the man tapped by CIA Director John Brennan to run the digital wing, that digital pivot is paying off.

The agency, Hallman said, has significantly improved its “anticipatory intelligence,” using a mesh of sophisticated algorithms and analytics against complex systems to better predict the flow of everything from illicit cash to extremists around the globe. Deep learning and other forms of machine learning can help analysts understand how seemingly disparate data sets might be linked or lend themselves to predicting future events with national security ramifications.

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